Global uncertainty rises and assumptions are challenged, according to the U.S. social mood "weather forecast" for August 2015. A serious or deadly event on the California coast is also a possibility.
By observing current events and analyzing the overall pattern, we project and inform about near-future geopolitical, environmental, economic, and social trends.
Showing posts with label uncertainty. Show all posts
Showing posts with label uncertainty. Show all posts
Sunday, July 26, 2015
Friday, February 22, 2013
Big Risk of Small Problems: Global Mood thru Feb 26
Social mood through February 26 reflects uncertainty, confusion, and the unexpected. People are contrarian and argumentative, making group efforts challenging. Bad news seems to be on the rise, but is it really that bad?
Incidents of unrest, protests, and workplace violence, as well as other mass violence incidents are likely to continue to make headlines, however any fatalities should be relatively low in number*.
Epidemic factors are again decreasing. The flu should be less of a concern this period.
Globally, the likelihood for crises, upheaval, and disasters is elevated. However, chances for major disasters are low.
Significant Natural Events: Risks for significant natural events are elevated, but no major disasters with high casualty count are expected*. The types most associated with the current pattern are earthquakes, unstable or violent weather, and fires.
For more information on the current outlook or the MoodCompass Project, see http://moodcompass.com.
You can also like The MoodCompass Project on
.
*Estimated casualties are provided to give a sense of scale of potential impact to U.S. society. Events of equivalent impact without fatalities are also possible (e.g. economic loss). Also, since U.S. social mood changes are the measure, if event(s) occur outside of the United States, loss of life and/or property could be substantially greater.
Incidents of unrest, protests, and workplace violence, as well as other mass violence incidents are likely to continue to make headlines, however any fatalities should be relatively low in number*.
Epidemic factors are again decreasing. The flu should be less of a concern this period.
Globally, the likelihood for crises, upheaval, and disasters is elevated. However, chances for major disasters are low.
Significant Natural Events: Risks for significant natural events are elevated, but no major disasters with high casualty count are expected*. The types most associated with the current pattern are earthquakes, unstable or violent weather, and fires.
For more information on the current outlook or the MoodCompass Project, see http://moodcompass.com.
You can also like The MoodCompass Project on
.*Estimated casualties are provided to give a sense of scale of potential impact to U.S. society. Events of equivalent impact without fatalities are also possible (e.g. economic loss). Also, since U.S. social mood changes are the measure, if event(s) occur outside of the United States, loss of life and/or property could be substantially greater.
Monday, February 11, 2013
Confused & Surprised: Global Mood thru Feb 21, '13
Social mood through February 21 reflects uncertainty, confusion, and the
unexpected. People are contrarian and argumentative, making group efforts
challenging.
U.S. Disaster Alert: Social mood changes indicate that an event perceived as a crisis, upheaval, or disaster is likely to occur Feb. 11-21 in or directly affecting the United States of America.
Incidents of unrest, protests, and workplace violence, as well as other mass violence incidents are likely to increase in frequency and in scale.
Epidemic factors are showing a slight increase. While a peak in the flu outbreak has likely already occurred, this could be an especially bad week.
Globally, the likelihood for crises, upheaval, and disasters is elevated.
Significant Natural Events: Risks for significant natural events are elevated. The types most associated with the current pattern are earthquakes, unstable or violent weather, and wildfires.
For more information on the current outlook or the MoodCompass Project, see http://moodcompass.com.
You can also like The MoodCompass Project on
.
- - - - - - - -
Examples of this social mood configuration in the news:
2/10-14: Carnival Triumph- "The cruise from hell"
2/15: Meteorite hits Russia with force of atomic bomb, about 1100 injured
2/19: 4 dead, including suspect, in Orange County shooting spree.
Gas explosion ignites restaurant in Kansas City; dozens injured
2/20-21: Wall Street drops on growth concerns, fear index jumps
2/21: Shooting, fiery crash on Las Vegas strip leaves 3 dead
U.S. Disaster Alert: Social mood changes indicate that an event perceived as a crisis, upheaval, or disaster is likely to occur Feb. 11-21 in or directly affecting the United States of America.
Incidents of unrest, protests, and workplace violence, as well as other mass violence incidents are likely to increase in frequency and in scale.
Epidemic factors are showing a slight increase. While a peak in the flu outbreak has likely already occurred, this could be an especially bad week.
Globally, the likelihood for crises, upheaval, and disasters is elevated.
Significant Natural Events: Risks for significant natural events are elevated. The types most associated with the current pattern are earthquakes, unstable or violent weather, and wildfires.
For more information on the current outlook or the MoodCompass Project, see http://moodcompass.com.
You can also like The MoodCompass Project on
.- - - - - - - -
Examples of this social mood configuration in the news:
2/10-14: Carnival Triumph- "The cruise from hell"
2/15: Meteorite hits Russia with force of atomic bomb, about 1100 injured
2/19: 4 dead, including suspect, in Orange County shooting spree.
Gas explosion ignites restaurant in Kansas City; dozens injured
2/20-21: Wall Street drops on growth concerns, fear index jumps
2/21: Shooting, fiery crash on Las Vegas strip leaves 3 dead
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
