Showing posts with label moodcompass. Show all posts
Showing posts with label moodcompass. Show all posts

Sunday, August 18, 2013

Collective Mood, Global Events, and the Stock Market

I am starting a new blog just for people interested in social mood's tie-in with world events and the stock market.  That way I can discuss those things with people interested in that, and continue to redevelop this blog with a different focus. 

If you are interested, it is at http://moodcompass-world.blogspot.com

Best regards,

Dr. Cari Bourette
Director,
The MoodCompass Project

Saturday, June 22, 2013

Out with the Old...

Our world is about to change at a pace that has never been seen before in all of human history.  A paradigm shift has begun.  For many it will be painful, for some it will be exhilarating.  The extent of our turmoil may be measured by the persistence with which we cling to the pursuit of how it's always been or to our old ideas of how things should be.  Adaptability and flexibility are key virtues that will get each of us through the days ahead.  Cooperation and community will be hallmarks of success.

The work that MoodCompass has done in tracking disasters has been successful.  We have learned that it can be done, and have demonstrated that there is connection between ourselves and our world.  However, because of where we are at in history, it does not make sense to continue to focus on disasters at this point.  There's a good chance that people will find all the disaster-type events they hear about in the news in the coming years to be overwhelming, or at least something to tune out and turn away from.  We need to find a different focus, and are trying to figure out right now what that might be.

We have discontinued our tracking of social mood's connection with the stock market as well.  The market will be quickly on its way to irrelevancy in the months ahead, as it already is for most people now.

Transformation is magical.  It can be frightening when it happens to us and our world.  Yet, as we let go of what we have clung to, either by choice or by force, we make room for something unexpected and potentially beautiful.  That is our hope for the world, now, and in the years ahead.

 

Monday, October 18, 2010

High Terror Risk Alert - Oct / Nov 2010: Video

High Terror Risk collective mood configuration appears late October - early November 2010. Technical presentation of mood cycles illustrates.

Sunday, September 19, 2010

Stock Market Crash Alert: Fall/Winter 2010 - Videocast

Initially, markets should drop 20%; a 50% decline by year end is likely. Economic losses lead to further social deterioration. Technical presentation of mood cycles illustrates.

Friday, September 17, 2010

Market Crash Imminent

The S&P is now 300 points or 27% above where social mood would place it, and in the mean time, mood continues to deteriorate. This will not continue to go unresolved for long. While some of the economic numbers are showing modest improvement, foreclosure rates are increasing, the poverty rate is increasing, more people are permanently leaving the workforce, and there are no signs that this will be changing any time soon. Whether a new series of market crashes starts next week or next month, it is not far away. Such a downturn in the market could escalate the job problem and further add to social mood deterioration. Not a pretty picture.


This chart shows social mood trend modeled from published Moodcompass issues vs. actual S&P prices.