U.S.: Backlash to Change June 28- July 4, 2015 (video)

Backlash to the many recent changes in U.S. culture should start to be seen in the week ahead. .  U.S. social mood "weather forecast" shows Americans less "nice" and more "rowdy."

 

U.S. Seeking Shelter June 21-27, 2015 (video)

U.S. social mood "weather forecast" shows Americans feeling nervous about events in the world and within the U.S.  A BIG week for U.S. people.



Update 6/20/15: In the areas forecasted for this week (beginning Sunday) as likely areas of Manic mood or disruptive events, on Saturday evening two gunmen in unrelated incidents shot at a group of people. One was in Michigan, the west boundary of the area we mentioned, and the other was in Pennsylvania, the east boundary of the region highlighted for this week.  While we celebrate that the method we are using is apparently working well, it was disturbing and a bit creepy to get something like this "correct" (even though a few hours outside of our time window).

New Wave of U.S. Unrest: June 14-20, 2015 (video)

U.S. social mood "weather forecast" shows a new wave of protests and manic mood coming to America in the week ahead.

Update 6/17/15: As noted in the video for increased risk of violence on 16th and 17th, and by location highlighting several East Coast states including S. Carolina , 9 dead in S. Carolina shooting at church Bible study class.

Update: 6/20/15: Yes, there was a new wave of unrest/protests this week. Thousands protest Confederate Flag in South Carolina

U.S. Outlook for June 2015 (from Social Mood data)

June is a turning point for the United States internally and internationally.  The chart below is the overall flow of social mood as projected for June 2015. :

(click to enlarge)

Note to our followers: The addition of geographic analysis to our toolkit allows us greater precision than ever before in next-month future forecasting.  Follow along with the news-flo this month and see how well we did translating social mood data into future headlines.

Week 1 (through June 6): Mild and ongoing economic concerns are present, but a major U.S. economic event is unlikely.  Most of the stimulus for economic issues likely come from outside the U.S. (Greece?).

Week 2 (through June 13): There may be residual economic concerns from any events of the first week of June, but they should dissipate during this period. Any stimulus for new economic concerns should primarily come from outside the U.S.  Watch for a significant development in U.S. – China relations near June 11. 

Week 3 (through June 20): There is a moderate risk of civil unrest or disruptive event(s) during this period (see map below).  The region at highest risk is the Eastern States, but there is an elevated risk throughout the country.  Manic mood may also show up financially as rising indicators of inflation.

(click map to enlarge)

 

Week 4 (through June 27): The outlook of Americans should begin to take a more serious tone this week.  The region North of Texas has the highest projection of this mood factor during this period (see map below, left).  However, this central location may also be indicative of a national shift.  A new wave of economic concerns and domestic issues are starting to take hold in the U.S. There is a moderate risk of civil unrest or disruptive event(s) during this period, possibly expanding or continuing from last week (see map below, right).  The region at highest risk is near Michigan and Ohio, but an elevated risk remains throughout the country.  Manic mood may also show up financially as rising indicators of inflation.

(click maps to enlarge)

Week 5 (through July 4): The outlook of Americans should become much more serious in tone this week, expanding from last week (see map below, left).  The "heartland" of America has the highest projection of this mood factor during this period. Economic concerns and domestic issues are growing and are likely a strong focus of politicians in Washington D.C. and traders on Wall Street as this mood factor is elevated in both D.C. and New York City (see map below, right).  These issues are not necessarily limited to those areas.

(click maps to enlarge)
 

U.S. China relations for June 2015 (based on projected Social Mood data)

Continuing our cutting edge work in near-future event forecasting, we present a narrative for the upcoming month's U.S. - China relations. Changing views by the world of the United States and China follow patterns that are projected forward one month.  The data is analyzed and coded into archetypal categories.  This forms the basis for the narrative.  Follow the news flow this month and we'll see how close we got to calling the pattern on this one!

Summary: Near June 11, watch for a significant new development in U.S. - China relations.  The U.S. has the intention of keeping China "in line."  However, China may strategically play this to come out ahead.  Near June 18, China takes a more aggressive stance or tone.
 

(click on maps below to enlarge)