Changes in social mood generated a new signal, creating the following alert:
There is a high risk for event(s) perceived as crisis, upheaval, or disaster
especially between October 12-19.
Casualty estimates are between 6 and 60*.
There is an elevated risk for event(s) perceived as violent
protests or terrorist activity especially between October 15-22. A small number of casualties are possible*.
Because these signals overlap, they may be part of a single event
or set of events, such as a violent-upheaval.
Significant natural events may occur during this period. If so, the types most associated with the current pattern are tornadoes (cyclones) and earthquakes.
*Estimated casualties are provided to give a sense of scale of
expected impact to U.S. society. If the event(s) occur outside of the United
States, loss of life and/or property could be substantially greater. An event
of equivalent impact without fatalities is also possible (e.g. market failure).
For more information on The MoodCompass Project see moodcompass.com.
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Update
10/17/12: Man held in NYC plot to blow up Federal Reserve
Denver bar set on fire with five murder victims inside
10/18/12: Clashes erupt at Greek anti-austerity protests
Tornadoes leave thousands without power
Google filing error shocks investors
10/21/12: Gunman shoots 7 at Wisconsin spa
