Alert period: December 15 - 22, 2012
To Recap:
Changes in observed Hawaiian social mood has generated a signal indicating an event that should be perceived as crisis, disaster, or upheaval by the people of Hawaii is likley to occur within the alert period.
Such events are often related to violence, unrest, or natural disasters. The local factor related to protests and mass violence is slightly elevated, but not extreme.
The charts below show the "temperature" or intensities of each of several risk factors of U.S. social mood which are also proportionate globally. If the Hawaii event is related to mass violence, the event or precipitating event would most likely occur by December 15.
Should a natural disaster be the primary source of the indicated crisis, the most likely type would be a tsunami or volcanic eruption.
Below is the current U.S. damage risk "thermometer" which gives a potential casualty level per type of damage that the social mood would support occuring within the U.S.*
For more information on the MoodCompass Project, see http://moodcompass.com
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Update: January 3, 2013:
The "Hawaii Disaster" during this period was apparently the death of well-respected, long time senator Daniel Inoyue. Besides the emotional impact, according to the Hawaii budget head, economically, his death will result in an "economic cliff" for Hawaii, bigger than the federal fiscal cliff.
To Recap:
Changes in observed Hawaiian social mood has generated a signal indicating an event that should be perceived as crisis, disaster, or upheaval by the people of Hawaii is likley to occur within the alert period.
Such events are often related to violence, unrest, or natural disasters. The local factor related to protests and mass violence is slightly elevated, but not extreme.
The charts below show the "temperature" or intensities of each of several risk factors of U.S. social mood which are also proportionate globally. If the Hawaii event is related to mass violence, the event or precipitating event would most likely occur by December 15.
Should a natural disaster be the primary source of the indicated crisis, the most likely type would be a tsunami or volcanic eruption.
Below is the current U.S. damage risk "thermometer" which gives a potential casualty level per type of damage that the social mood would support occuring within the U.S.*
*An event of equivalent impact without fatalities is also possible (e.g. economic loss).
For more information on the MoodCompass Project, see http://moodcompass.com
- - - - - - - - - -
Update: January 3, 2013:
The "Hawaii Disaster" during this period was apparently the death of well-respected, long time senator Daniel Inoyue. Besides the emotional impact, according to the Hawaii budget head, economically, his death will result in an "economic cliff" for Hawaii, bigger than the federal fiscal cliff.
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